How are future security threats inferred in advance?
The issue of how future possible threats are inferred is of crucial significance. For example, the commercial designers of security algorithms for a major global sporting event report that “we can write the code, but someone must decide the weight that is to be placed on a given item. We do the tuning”. Here, inference is taking place mathematically in the writing of code, but also politically in the identification of relative risk factors.
Decisions must be made on who or what poses a risk. From the use of ‘event trees’ to the visualization of threat events, the inference of future events no longer strictly deploys evidence or data from past events, but instead seeks to project an array of possible futures.